To determine whether you should consider refinancing your home loan, you can compare the costs of getting a new mortgage with the savings you would get from a reduced interest rate.
You may also want to consider refinancing to a different type of mortgage, such as switching from a 5-year balloon to a 15-year fixed rate mortgage.
Here is an example and a work sheet that will help you determine if refinancing makes sense for you. You may want to print this article and use the worksheets.
Rick and Carol have a home they bought three years ago for $300,000 and they have five years remaining on balloon mortgage of $200,000 with an interest rate of 4.25 percent.
Their monthly payments are $983.88.
They intend to live in their home for several years and would like to lock in a 30-year mortgage with a 3.5 percent fixed rate.
Rick and Carol New Mortgage Costs Discount Points (in $) $ - Origination Points (if any) $ 1500 Application Fee $ 475 Credit Check Fee $ - Attorney Fees (yours) $ - Attorney Fees (lender's) $ - Title Search Fee $ - Title Insurance Fee $ - Appraisal Fee $ - Inspections $ - Local Fees (taxes, transfers) $ - Other Fees $ 360 Total cost of new mortgage $ 2335 Calculating the Savings Monthly payment on current mortgage $ 983.88 Monthly payment on new mortgage $ 898.09 Difference between two mortgage payments $ 85.79 Divide total fees on new mortgage by monthly savings - This is the number of months to recover your costs 27 months
In this example, Rick and Carol would save almost $1,030 annually in mortgage payments and lock in a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Over the course of the mortgage they would pay about $31,000 less in total interest.
Work Sheet for You to Use New Mortgage Costs Discount Points (in $) $ Origination Points (if any) $ Application Fee $ Credit Check Fee $ Attorney Fees (yours) $ Attorney Fees (lender's) $ Title Search Fee $ Insurance Fee $ Appraisal Fee $ Inspections $ Local Fees (taxes, transfers) $ Other Fees $ Total Cost of New Mortgage $ Calculating your Savings Monthly payment on current mortgage $ Monthly payment on new mortgage $ Difference between two mortgage payments $ Divide total fees on new mortgage by monthly savings - This is the number of months to recover your costs $
When you’re thinking of refinancing, you may also wish to consider refinancing a larger or smaller amount than the current balance of your mortgage.
If you have excess funds available and believe you will have a hard time earning a return from your investments that’s greater than the mortgage rate you’re paying, you may want to pay down your mortgage and get a new mortgage that is smaller.
If you need cash for other things, like college tuition or a new car, you may want to refinance a larger amount to cash out some of the equity in your home.
Remember that mortgage interest may be tax deductible if you itemize your deductions on your tax return. Consult your tax adviser to see how this may apply to your situation.
No interest rate environment lasts forever. Unfortunately there is no crystal ball that will tell you when rates have reached their lowest level.
Take action now to evaluate whether refinancing makes economic sense. Evaluating the type of mortgage you want, can help you be in control of one of your largest household expenses.
In a manner of speaking, staging your home is putting its best foot forward: you're setting up each room to look inviting to prospective buyers of all types. Showcase your home’s best features, and minimizes any flaws.
Clean and clear Ideally, you’d start with a completely empty home, painted in neutrals and perfectly clean. In reality, you get as close to this ideal as you can by boxing up personal items, clearing out closets and stacking everything neatly in your tidy and [now] organized garage and attic. Items that must stay out in the open need to go in bins or baskets to keep your home free of clutter. This includes toys and kitchen and bathroom items you need to use daily. And of course everything must be dusted and cleaned of fingerprints and footprints!
Start the staging Your rooms should look inviting, but they still need to have the minimum furnishings possible so buyers can imagine their own belongings in there more easily. Play to the strengths of each room by accenting its best features. Create conversational groupings in common areas.
Light it up Bright lighting make the room look warm and welcoming. Chase away dark corners by using both ambient lighting and accent lights.
Head outside Your patio and yard should also be selling features. Clean up the furniture, make sure the cushions aren’t sun-faded, and get the garden in shape. If you don’t have a green thumb, large potted plants can dress up the exterior.
Make every space count Dress up a Spartan guest room with a comfy chair and pretty lamp to create a cozy reading spot. The guest room should be obviously a guest room; the same goes for the office. Ambiguity in a room’s purpose can be confusing to homeshoppers. Make it clear what each room is for. If you have an oddly shaped landing, or a little nook in the living room, don’t ignore it: show its potential.
Keep up daily This can be the hardest part! But while your home is on the market, you need to keep the garbage empty, the laundry folded, the pet toys out of sight, and the cap on your toothpaste.
It’s hard to show your home while you’re still living in it, but you need to think about what a new homeowner will be looking for: a fresh start and a place for their family and their belongings. You want your home to appeal to the most number of people possible. Keep these tips in mind to help your home sell quickly and for more money!
Passing along real estate to your children or other heirs can be done with a minimum of stress, hassle and cost, as long as you’re willing to do a little planning. Here are three of the most popular ways to leave your home to your heirs:
1. Include your home in your will.
When you draft your will, you can include your home in the assets you distribute. For example, you can leave it to multiple children and direct them to sell it and split the proceeds.
It’s easy for you to include your home among the assets distributed after your death. All you have to do is ask your attorney to include it in your will.
If they sell the property, they’ll likely pay capital gains taxes based on what the home was worth when they inherited it.
Your heirs will have to go through the probate process, which can be expensive and time consuming.
Your will may be a public record that anyone can view.
2. Put your home in a revocable living trust.
A revocable living trust is a trust that you can change or cancel (revoke). In the trust, you name a trustee (that’s usually you) and a successor trustee (the person you want to inherit your home). Once you set up the trust, you transfer your home into it and when you pass away, your successor trustee takes control of the trust, and therefore, your home.
Your heirs get your home upon your death without having to go through the expense and time of the will probate process.
If they sell the property, they’ll likely pay capital gains taxes based on what the home was worth when they inherited it.
Setting up a living trust can cost thousands of dollars.
If your children are young, you’ll have to have a trustee manage the trust and home until they’re old enough to manage it on their own.
3. Add your children to the title of your home while you’re still alive.
You can give your home to your children by adding them to the title of your property as joint tenants (or joint tenants with rights of survivorship).
When you die, your heirs automatically own the property without going through the probate process.
There are often significant tax consequences when you give someone a valuable property.
If your heirs sell the property, they’ll likely pay capital gains taxes based on what you paid for the property back when you first bought it.
You can’t change your mind and take back your home.
Your heirs will have to agree if you want to refinance or take out a mortgage.
Need help considering your options? I can refer you to an attorney who can explain these (and other) options. Tax laws and tax rules are constantly being updated and interpreted. This article contains general information, so please discuss your individual situation with a trusted tax adviser before making tax decisions.
The economy continued to add jobs, but the growth was at its slowest pace in more than a year, while lay-offs saw unexpectedly good news, and personal incomes and spending saw modest gains.
The U.S. economy added just 126,000 jobs in March, which, while an increase, was the slowest pace of job growth since December 2013. This kept the unemployment rate at 5.5 percent, unchanged from last month, according to figures released by the Department of Labor last week.
Overall, the number of unemployed Americans saw little change, hovering at 8.6 million people, with the labor force participation rate — the percentage of employable Americans actively working or looking for work — also hovering at 62.7 percent. The number of long-term unemployed people saw little change at 2.6 million people, which represented 29.8 percent of overall unemployment.
The number of Americans involuntarily employed on part-time basis, for economic reasons such as their hours work cut back or that was the only work they could find, totaled 6.7 million, which was the essentially the same as February.
Analysts cautioned not to read too much into the March numbers, as one month’s performance does not represent a trend in terms of any employment slow-down.
“Payrolls are always volatile even at the best of times, and we are coming off a run of almost unbelievably strong employment growth stretching back to last summer,” Capital Economics economist Paul Ashworth wrote in a statement to clients. “… this is most probably another temporary blip.”
Initial Jobless Claims
Lay-offs beat market expectations for an increase, and instead saw a healthy decline, with continuing jobless claims hitting a 15-year low. Initial jobless claims filed during the week ending March 28 fell to 268,000, a drop of 20,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 288,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The performance completely reversed market expectations of a rise in jobless claims to 295,000.
The four-week moving average, considered a more reliable gauge of jobless claims, also saw a significant drop, falling to 285,500, a decline of 14,750 claims from the prior week’s revised average of 300,250.
Better yet, the number of unemployed Americans still covered by unemployment insurance fell to 2,325,000 people, a drop of 88,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 2,322,000. That’s the lowest continuing jobless claims have been since Dec. 16, 2000.
“The trend in claims, now below the pre-recession trough, continues to impress and remains consistent with an improving labor market,” BNP Paribas analyst Derek Lindsey stated in a note to clients.
Incomes and Spending
Continued bad weather had an impact on consumer incomes and spending in February. Personal incomes for the month grew by $58.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI; income after taxes) notched p $54.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. Meanwhile, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) notched up $11.8 billion, or 0.1 percent.
Personal savings — which is DPI minus personal outlays — hit $768.6 billion in February, compared with $728.7 billion in January. The personal savings rate — which is personal savings expressed as a percentage of DPI — grew to 5.8 percent in February, compared with 5.5 percent in January.
“It does look like weather might have been a disruption in the first quarter, just like we thought a year ago,” BNP Paribas economist Laura Rosner told the Wall Street Journal. “The question now is, is this going to persist or is it something that’s going to get reversed?”
This week we can expect:
Tuesday — February consumer credit totals from the Federal Reserve.
Thursday — Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; February wholesale inventories from the Census Bureau.
Friday — March budget from the Treasury Department; March import and export prices from the Census Bureau.
Contact The Lynchburg Team - Lynchburg Real Estate Services KW to learn more about your market - 434-879-3275 or email firstname.lastname@example.org. Make sure to visit http://thelynchburgteam.com to learn more about all of the services we provide to serve you and your home needs - Your One Stop Real Estate Shop - The Lynchburg Team!
Mortgage rates have been low for quite a long time now. Even recently, when they’ve started to creep up, they’ve come back down again. But we all know this can’t last forever. In fact The Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen, recently indicated rate increases can be expected in the not too distant future.
Well, she may not have mentioned mortgage rates specifically. But when the Federal Reserve stops buying up bonds and allows inflation to take its natural course — that means it will rise — then mortgage interest rates will also be affected, along with many other costs associated with purchasing and owning a home.
The Basics So how does inflation affect mortgage rates? Let’s start with understanding what inflation is. Inflation basically means that prices are rising. When inflation runs its natural course, the cost of products slowly rises, so that you’re paying more for the same item. In a stable economy, wages will rise to match inflation, so that costs aren’t out of control and the people can still keep the economy moving by making purchases and circulating cash.
As a country we are in a good place economically now, with low unemployment, rising wages, and robust consumer spending. However, if the people start spending more, and create a risk of supply not being able to meet demand for goods and services, the Fed may raise interest rates to slow things down. So a strong economy can itself trigger inflation to grow, affecting your clients’ purchasing power and home buying prospects.
Show Your Clients Why They Should Buy NOW When inflation rises quickly, your clients’ buying power won’t keep up, and they won’t be able to buy the same items and services for the same cost as they once could. That includes their mortgages: Inflation will cause the mortgage interest rate, and possibly the fees associated with a home mortgage purchase, to rise. For some people this could put homeownership out of reach. Consider this example: When interest rates are at 5 percent, a homebuyer can pay around $1,600 per month on a $300,000 loan; but at 6 percent, $1,600 per month gets them a loan of $270,000.
Additional Concerns In addition to your clients’ mortgages costing them more, the house itself will cost them more. If you’re selling a homebuyer a brand-new home, the cost of lumber will have increased, raising the price. Even in an older home, clients will be paying higher rates: for new carpet, for the HVAC serviceman, for the home warranty.
Of course, no one can say with certainty how prices and inflation will change over the next six months, or 12, or the next five years. What we do know is that mortgage interest rates are still at historic lows; that home prices are still incredibly affordable, but they are rising; and that inflation will probably soon be on the rise: all factors which make now the right time to buy a new home. Please share my contact information with your clients and encourage them to all me to review their personal financial situations. Together we can get your clients off the fence and into a new home!
On April 2nd, 2015 Katherine Farber spoke for a class at American National University on Candlewood Ct in Lynchburg, VA about her experience as both a realtor for Keller Williams and as a business owner, being the owner of The Lynchburg Team - Lynchburg Real Estate Services, KW. She fielded questions from the classroom of students about lead generating, lead tracking, the real estate process, the day to day challenges a realtor faces and the challenges of running a business. She spoke about the hiring process for members of her team, focusing on her vision of training and focus - with The Lynchburg Team, Lynchbug Real Estate Services all team members undergo rigorous and continuing training to ensure that they are well versed on every aspect of the real estate transaction, and all team members have a very specific focus within the company to ensure that they are able to focus on their "One Thing". Each member of The Lynchburg Team is able to dedicate all of their time to their specific field of focus, ensuring our clients receive excellent customer service from someone who will only have that client's best interests in mind.
Katherine routinely volunteers to teach about the home buying process, particularly for first time home buyers, and can often be found at colleges in the spring and early summer months helping educate the community. In addition to the training and educating she volunteers for at local colleges, Katherine volunteers for several other local charities and causes. For instance, currently The Lynchburg Team is coordinating a donation drive for Human Kind, accepting canned goods and non-perishable items.
Last week saw encouraging housing news with sales of existing homes reaching their best rate in 12 months, and new home sales hitting their fastest pace in seven years. Also, layoffs enjoyed a better-than-expected drop.
Existing Home Sales
Sales of existing homes hit their fastest pace in a year, rising 1.2 percent to an annual rate of 4.88 million in February, according to last week’s report from the National Association of Realtors. All told, sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops were 4.7 percent higher than the same period a year ago.
That said, prices climbed as well. The median price for existing homes of all types hit $202,600 in February, which was 7.5 percent higher than February 2014’s price. This marked the 36th straight month of year-over-year price gains. It appeared that higher prices caused by winnowing supply were holding the market back, according to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
“Insufficient supply appears to be hampering prospective buyers in several areas of the country and is hiking prices to near unsuitable levels,” Yun said in a public statement. “Stronger price growth is a boon for homeowners looking to build additional equity, but it continues to be an obstacle for current buyers looking to close before rates rise.”
Looking at inventory, the total pool of existing homes for sale at the end of February grew 1.6 percent to 1.89 million units, representing a 4.6-month supply of available homes at February’s sales pace.
New Home Sales
New home sales hit a seven-year high in February, with sales of new single-family homes hitting an annual rate of 539,000, the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported last week. February’s pace was 7.8 percent higher than January’s revised rate of 500,000 and was 24.8 percent higher than February 2014’s pace of 432,000.
John Johnson, chief executive of homebuilder David Weekley Homes attributed February’s gains to improved consumer confidence and low interest rates.
“There’s evidence that buyers who had been forestalling or delaying their decision are now comfortable enough to buy,” Johnson told the Wall Street Journal. “And there’s some awareness that interest rates aren’t going to stay down forever.”
Looking at price, the median sales price of new homes sold in February was $275,500, and the average sales price was $341,000. The estimated inventory of new homes for sale at the end of February was 210,000, representing a 4.7-month supply at February’s sales pace.
Initial Jobless Claims
First-time claims for unemployment benefits filed by the newly unemployed beat analysts’ expectations, and fell to their lowest level in five weeks. Initial jobless claims filed during the week ending March 21 dropped to 282,000, a decline of 9,000 claims from the preceding week's unrevised level of 291,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. This beat job market watchers’ expectations that claims would come in at 290.000 for the week.
The four-week moving average — considered a more stable measure of lay-offs — fell to 297,000, a drop of 7,750 claims from the prior week’s unrevised average of 304,750.
All in all, a sustained low level in layoffs spells good things for the job market, because it typically corresponds with increased hiring.
“If we continue to see claims down here, you can expect to see more payroll gains,” said Raymond Stone, managing director at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, told Bloomberg. “The good, strong gains we’ve seen in payrolls will continue.”
This week we can expect:
Monday — Personal incomes and spending for February from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Tuesday — Consumer confidence for March from The Conference Board.
Wednesday — February construction spending from the Census Bureau; car and trucks sales for March from the auto manufacturers.
Thursday — Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; February balance of trade from the Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis; February factory orders from the Census Bureau.
Friday — March unemployment, payrolls, hourly earnings and average workweek from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Human Kind's Mission
Although the words have changed, the essential mission of HumanKind has remained constant during our 110-year history: to strengthen individuals and families through care, counseling and education.
We envision a compassionate society where the inherent value of every person is recognized, where families are healthy, and communities where everyone can prosper.
Our values are service, integrity, teamwork, excellence, developing potential and diversity.
Our commitment to our values is intended for ever individual we encounter and this is how we live them out:
Service is humble, professional and compassionate
Integrity is demonstrated by dignity, ethics and respect
Teamwork is seen in positive attitudes, collaboration and shared responsibility
Excellence is measuring quality while striving for continuous improvement
Developing Potential is encouraging and fostering growth in effectiveness
Diversity is respected, encouraged and celebrated
- See more at: http://www.humankind.org/about-us/mission-vision/#sthash.0chshaqr.dpuf
The Lynchburg Team - Lynchburg Real Estate Services Keller Williams is proud to support Human Kind, a nonprofit organization, and hope that you will help support them too by Donating Today!
Donate the items below by Calling 434-879-3275 or email Contact@thelynchburgteam.com to help families in need. Human Kind helps families improve their lives by giving them the tools they need to succeed in life!
In 2015, silver and gold have shimmied out of the jewel box and onto the wall — and whether subtle silver or bold gold, wallpapers with hints of metallic are hardly wallflowers.
“As the economy begins to look up, consumers are having more fun with fashion, and that attitude translates to home design, too,” says Gina Shaw, vice president of product development at York Wallcoverings. “Metallic home accessories are making a comeback because of the fashion influence of metallic shoes, bags and clothing.”
Metallics add interest and dimension many rooms in your home. “They work well with any style, modern to traditional and come in a range of styles from solid backgrounds to just a hint of shimmer,” Shaw says.
Try out the trend with mica, sand and glass bead patterns that whisper with subtle shimmer, or go full-out with designs that incorporate mylar for a gleaming mirror-like look.
Five tips for decorating with metallic wallpapers:
Create a grand entrance with metallics in an entryway. A powder room is another small space where metallics can make a big statement. Use metallic wallpapers to complement bronze, copper or pewter decorative hardware or stainless steel finishes in kitchen appliances. A soft, shimmery metallic in a bedroom can create a cozy environment conducive to sleep. Don’t forget the “fifth wall” – try a shimmery metallic overall texture on the ceiling. Like the idea of metallic wallpaper but not up for doing it yourself? Contact me for a referral to a home improvement contractor who can install wallpaper for you. I can also put you in touch with a designer who can help you envision ways to incorporate the metallic trend in your home.
Image source: York Wallcoverings
Your ability to write a check, buy insurance and get a job can all be influenced by "specialty" consumer reports that track your behavior, according to a new report from Consumer Action, a nonprofit group that advocates for consumer rights.
CA's new Insider's Guide to Specialty Consumer Reports explains:
What information companies collect about you. How to check what's in your specialty reports. How to correct errors in your specialty reports. Your rights under the Fair Credit Reporting Act. What Do They Know About You?
CA says specialty consumer reports were created so companies could check to see if you’re being truthful about things like your employment history or if you’re hiding health information from insurance companies.
The most common types of specialty reports are:
Alternative credit history Check writing and bank account history Background and employment screening Insurance claims Medical and prescription history Residential tenant history Utilities payment history
Knowing what’s in your specialty consumer reports is important because companies use the information to make decisions about your finances and employment. Checking your reports and correcting errors ensures you’re treated fairly by the companies that use specialty reports to make decisions about you.
Are you considering putting your house up for sale, but not sure where to start? Afraid it will take too long to sell, or that you won’t get the price you want? Think about “staging” your home, or in other words, setting the scene for immediate buyer interest in your property.
To be really effective, you need to look at both the outside and the inside of your home. Here are 3 tips to get you started with the inside of your home:
1. De-clutter. This is one of the most important things you can do. It might be easier to think of de-cluttering like this – you’re moving anyway, so why not start packing now?
Pack up everything you don’t need and store the boxes out of sight in the garage (or consider temporarily renting a small storage locker).
2. Organize your closets - put similar colors together, pants together, skirts together, shirts together etc. Why? Because it will make the closets look bigger. (Really.) An organized closet appears bigger, and you want your closets to look as spacious as possible.
3. Make your home look like a model. You want to de-personalize as much as possible so potential buyers can imagine themselves and their own belongings occupying the space in your house. That means minimizing – putting away everything you don’t need or use. Clear off kitchen counters as much as possible – stash all those appliances you don’t use, and put miscellaneous small clutter in a few attractive baskets or boxes
And the biggest tip of all? Imagine yourself as a potential buyer looking at your property for the very first time. What impressions are you getting? Would YOU buy your house? What would you like to see changed before you put an offer on your house?
And don’t worry about spending several thousand dollars to get your house ready to sell – you’ll get it all back when your house sells. Proper staging helps you sell your house in a shorter time and at the price you want.
Real estate was the big newsmaker last week, with existing and new home sales showing middling performance. While real estate was mixed, initial jobless claims took an unexpected bounce upward.
Existing Home Sales
Sales of existing homes for January were a mixed bag. Transactions of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 4.9 percent to an annual rate of 4.82 million in January, according to the National Association of Realtors. This was their lowest pace in nine months, but 3.2 percent higher than the same period a year ago.
“January housing data can be volatile because of seasonal influences, but low housing supply and the ongoing rise in home prices above the pace of inflation appeared to slow sales despite interest rates remaining near historic lows,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “Realtors are reporting that low rates are attracting potential buyers, but the lack of new and affordable listings is leading some to delay decisions.”
Existing home inventory did tick up for January, growing 0.5 percent by the end of the month to 1.87 million existing homes available for sale, but was 0.5 percent lower than January 2014’s 1.88 million unit-supply. To Yun’s point, unsold inventory is at a 4.7-month supply at the current sales pace – up from 4.4 months in December.
January’s median price for existing homes of all types grew to $199,600, a 6.2 percent increase over January 2014, marking the 35th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains.
“The labor market and economy are markedly improved compared to a year ago, which supports stronger buyer demand,” Yun noted. “The big test for housing will be the impact on affordability once rates rise.”
New Home Sales
New home sales for January saw similar performance. Transactions of new single-family homes fell 0.2 percent from the previous month to a rate of 481,000, according to estimates released last week by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. While down on a monthly basis, January’s sales were 5.3 percent higher than January 2014’s estimated rate of 457,000.
Looking at price, the median sales price of new houses sold in January came in at $294,300, and the average sales price was $348,300. Looking at supply, the estimate of new homes for sale at the end of January totaled 218,000, representing a supply of 5.4 months at January’s sales pace.
Once again, real estate analysts were saying that a true housing recovery depends on other economic factors.
“We are still taking sort of a meandering, bumpy path toward recovery,” IHS Global Insight U.S. Economist Stephanie Karol told the New York Times. “We expect housing will improve later this year due to the improvement in the labor market and credit conditions.”
Initial Jobless Claims
Looking at one of those other market factors, employment, first-time jobless claims filed by the newly unemployed saw their biggest jump since December 2013 last week; that’s after falling by a similar amount the week before. Initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 21 shot up to 313,000, an increase of 31,000 claims from the previous week's revised level of 282,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week.
The four-week moving average, which is considered a more reliable measure of jobless activity also saw a stiff increase, growing to 294,500, a gain of 11,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 283,000.
This week we can expect:
Monday — January personal incomes and spending from the Bureau of Economic Analysis; January construction spending from the Census Bureau.
Tuesday — February car and truck sales from the auto manufacturers.
Thursday — Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; January factory orders from the Census Bureau.
Friday — Consumer credit for January from the Federal Reserve; January trade balance from the Census Bureau; February unemployment, payrolls, hourly earnings and average workweek from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Last week’s economic headlines were a mixed bag, with producer prices and new home construction falling, while layoffs declined further than analysts had expected.
Producer Price Index
Producer prices witnessed their biggest decline since 2009, as cheap oil dragged the producer price index for final demand — the prices that businesses get for their goods and services — down by 0.8 percent in January, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The decline in final demand prices was led by the index for gasoline, which fell a whopping 24 percent, the Bureau reported. Prices for diesel fuel, jet fuel, basic organic chemicals, and home heating oil also fell.
January’s drop marked the third-straight monthly drop in PPI for final demand. Should the drop lend any credibility to jitters over possible deflation? Not according to Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics.
“It’s absolutely not going to happen,” Shepherdson told the Wall Street Journal. “You need to have a broad decline in prices, and at the moment we absolutely do not have that by any stretch of the imagination.”
New home construction fell in January, with starts on construction of homes of all types dropping 2 percent to an annual rate of 1,065,000, the Census Bureau reported last week. Starts on single-family homes fell a sizable 6.7 percent to an annual rate of 678,000.
Building permits issued for construction of private housing also declined, dipping 0.7 percent to an annual rate of 1,053,000. Permits for single-family homes dropped 3.1 percent to an annual rate of 654,000.
A key contributor to the attenuation in new home construction would be factors preventing first-time buyers from entering the market, such as student debt and rising prices. That said, increased employment — and hopefully future improvement in wages — will improve new home construction.
“We’re getting there, though gradually,” First Trust Portfolios LP deputy chief economist Robert Stein told Bloomberg. “We see the housing recovery continuing this year. It’ll be choppy, but we’ll see consistent improvement over the previous year.”
Initial Jobless Claims
First-time claims for unemployment benefits filed by the newly unemployed fell below expectations, after lay-offs saw an equally unexpected rise the week before.
Initial jobless claims filed during the week ending Feb. 14 fell to 283,000 claims, a drop of 21,000 claims from the preceding week’s level of 304,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. Last week’s jobless activity outperformed analysts’ expectations of a smaller drop to 295,000 claims.
The four-week moving average, considering a more stable gauge of lay-off activity, dropped to 283,250 claims, a decline of 6,500 from the preceding week’s average of 289,750.
“It appears that once we come out of the Veterans Day to Presidents Day fog bank, when the individual readings tend to be prone to gyrations, we may settle at a pace of layoffs consistent with where we were before mid-November,” Amherst Pierpont Securities chief economist Stephen Stanley wrote in a public statement.
This week we can expect:
Monday — Existing home sales for January from the National Association of Realtors.
Tuesday — Consumer confidence scores for February from The Conference Board.
Wednesday — New Home sales for January from the Census Bureau.
Thursday — Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; January consumer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics; durable goods orders for January from the Census Bureau.
Friday — The Bureau of Economic Analysis’ second GDP estimate for the fourth quarter of 2014; consumer sentiment for January from the University of Michigan and Thomson-Reuters Survey of Consumers.
The number of American households ditching cable TV in favor of streaming or pay-as-you-go services is steadily climbing. New alternatives seem to be popping up all over as more people become frustrated with paying high fees for bundled packages that include many “junk” channels that they are just not interested in. Are you ready to stop paying for channels you don’t want?
Saving Money Financially, it could be very much worth your while. If you’re paying $100 per month for a cable subscription, that comes out to $1200 per year — for many homeowners, a full mortgage payment. Alternatives such as Netflix ($7.99 to $11.99 per month), Hulu + ($7.99 per month) and Amazon Prime Instant Video (included with your Prime subscription, $99 per year) can provide films and TV shows on multiple devices at a fraction of the cost.
Mobility Another plus to most of these cable alternatives is their portability. You can watch on your TV, through a gaming device, on a tablet, on a smartphone, on a laptop, on your desktop at work … all for one price. No extra equipment is needed to adapt your gadgets (are you paying for multiple cable boxes in your home?). Most can also pick up where you left off on another device: You started watching a movie on the TV in your living room, then picked it up on your smartphone during your lunch hour, and then on your tablet later that evening in bed. It’s entertainment when and where you want it; you can feel like you are in charge.
Choices The inability to watch live TV is one reason you may be reluctant to disconnect from cable TV. Enter CBS All Access ($5.99 per month), which provides live streaming in many cities. New on the horizon is Sling TV, a Dish Network service that plans to offer live cable channels — including ESPN — for $20 per month, with no contract. Sling TV made a major splash at the 2015 Consumer Electronics Show, winning the Best of the Best award.
Of course, none of these services provides what we all really want: an a la carte menu of channels that we put together into a custom TV package. Luckily, innovation isn’t going anywhere anytime soon. And more choices are appearing on the horizon: HBO is considering offering HBO Go as a standalone to people who don’t subscribe to the cable channel; Showtime is also apparently getting aboard that wagon. PlayStation Vue is a cloud-based service that “reinvents the television experience,” according to its parent Sony. It plans to launch with 75 channels, contract-free, and it appears they will offer live CBS local stations in select markets.
The future may not be now, but it’s certainly stepped up the pace when it comes to entertainment options. As homeowners, ditching the cord — literally, in most cases, and how great will it be to get rid of those tangled wires? — is looking like a better option all the time.
The year of 2014 started out slow but moved into a healthy trend towards the summer and has continued to stay strong.
Median price for 2014 was $208,500, an increase of 5.8%. We appear to be nearing the end of the bounce-back effect on home prices and are moving back to a long-term growth path.
On an annual basis home prices appreciated 5.8% for 2014, returning close to the longterm average as we predicted last year.
Coming soon U.S. Economy: Provided by The Lynchburg Team - Lynchburg Real Estate Services - KW Call 434.879.3275 or email email@example.com for more information.
Last week's voluminous economic headlines featured a mixed bag of gains in personal incomes and consumer credit, while consumer spending dipped, the unemployment rate saw a slight increase, and layoffs increased as well.
Let's start with the unemployment news: The economy added 257,000 jobs in January, while unemployment rate for January ticked up by a tenth of a percent to 5.7 percent for the month, according to last week's Bureau of Labor Statistics report. Also, hourly earnings went up 12 cents to an average of $24.75 for the month.
So why did the unemployment rate go up while the economy actually added jobs? The answer is that more employable people were joining the job market. The Bureau's civilian non-institutional population, which is a fancy way of saying, "all employable Americans", grew by 696,000 people to hit 249,723,000.
Moreover, the labor force participation rate, which describes the number of employable Americans either with a job or looking for one, increased by 0.2 percent to 62.9 percent, while the number of discouraged workers (out-of-work Americans who have given up on hunting for a job) dropped to 682,000, which was down 155,000 people from the same period a year ago.
The net-net is that employment is on good enough an upswing and more workers want in on an economy that has added 1 million jobs since November. "These are pretty amazing numbers," IHS Inc. Chief Economist Nariman Behravesh told Bloomberg. "The January number is strong, but then you've got sizzling November and December numbers too. And then you've got the wage gains."
Initial Jobless Claims
First-time claims for unemployment benefits filed by the newly unemployed saw a moderate gain after a massive plummet from two weeks ago. Initial jobless claims for week ending Jan. 31 grew to 278,000, a gain of 11,000 claims from the preceding week's total of 267,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week.
The four-week moving average, considered a more reliable measure of lay-off activity, dipped to 292,750, a decline of 6,500 claim from the prior week's revised average of 299,250.
Incomes and Spending
Personal incomes grew by 0.3 percent to hit $41.3 billion, as did disposable personal income (DPI; income after taxes), which increased 0.3 percent $35.8 billion, according to last week's report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Meanwhile, personal consumption expenditures (PCE; consumer spending) dropped $40.0 billion, or 0.3 percent.
Meanwhile, personal saving — DPI less PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments — grew to $643.2 billion in December from $568.2 billion in November. Similarly, the personal saving rate — personal saving as a percentage of DPI — grew 4.9 percent in December, compared with 4.3 percent in November.
"Consumers appear to be saving most of their recent windfall from lower gasoline prices," PNC Financial Services Group senior economist told Morningstar. "However, consumer spending growth will be solid in 2015 thanks to more jobs, higher wages, and lower energy costs. Households will be able to both spend more and save more this year."
Last but not least, consumer credit grew by 5.4 percent in December to hit a total of $3.3 trillion, a $14.7 billion gain, the Federal Reserve reported last week.
Encouragingly, the big gain was in revolving debt, such as credit cards, which grew 7.9 percent to $887.9 billion. This showed an increased willingness on the part of Americans to use credit cards for their spending. Meanwhile, non-revolving debt, such as student and car loans, showed a healthy 4.5 percent increase to reach $2.4 trillion for the month.
This week we can expect:
Tuesday — Wholesale inventories for December from the Census Bureau.
Wednesday — January budget from the Treasury Department.
Thursday — Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; retail sales for January and business inventories for December from the Census Bureau.
Friday — January important and export prices from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis
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